Reports & Analysis

Iranian regime’s Achilles Heel

Feb 10th, 2017

Hassan Dai, February 10, 2017
Iranian political and military leadership has repeatedly declared that the Revolutionary Guard’s primary mission is to fight against domestic threats as the regime considers popular uprisings as the most fundamental threat to its survival



Iran’s game plan in Afghanistan

Jan 19th, 2017

Hassan Dai, 19 January 2017
Iran’s support to Taliban aims to weaken US military presence in Afghanistan, eventually forcing its withdrawal. Iran is also using Taliban as a counter balance to the presence of ISIS in the country. But Iran has a broader goal to secure its zone of influence in Farsi speaking and Shiite regions of Afghanistan. In this context, the Revolutionary Guards’ Afghan units like Fatemiyoun that has gained enormous battlefield experience in Syria, could be used as an important leverage in a civil war torn Afghanistan and help Iran to add part of Afghanistan to its “Shi’ite crescent” stretching to the Mediterranean Sea.



Trump’s Middle Easy policy and future of pro-Iran lobby

Jan 10th, 2017

Hassan Dai, January 10, 2017
It is largely expected that Trump administration will diminish the influence of pro-Iran lobby and cut its tentacles in the State Department, but a misguided policy in the Middle East that benefits Tehran could eventually help this lobby to thrive in Washington once again.



Rafsanjani’s death and Iran’s regional policies

Jan 9th, 2017

Hassan Dai, January 9, 2017
Rafsanjani died fall short of his goal to alter Iranian foreign policy, a change that he believed to be necessary for the regime’s survival. His death could significantly impact the regime’s internal balance of power and strengthen the Supreme Leader and the Revolutionary Guards’ position to advance their regional policies that have so far fueled violence and sectarian conflicts across the Middle East.



Arbaeen pilgrimage and Iran’s regional ambitions

Nov 17th, 2016

Hassan Dai, November 17, 2016
As Arbaeen continues to grow as the most important religious ceremony in the world and a show of force for the Shia community, the Iranian regime has been trying to gradually take the control of this event and utilizing it for its domestic and regional goals, specifically to solidify its influence in Iraq and dominate the Shia world.



Evolution of Pro-Iran lobby under Obama, from a pressure group to a White House partner

Nov 16th, 2016

Hassan Dai, 11 November 2016
Pro-Iran lobby is a coalition of organizations and politicians, led by US corporations and accompanied by an army of pundits and Iran experts that regardless of what Iran is doing, asks the US government to adopt a friendlier policy with Iran and remove sanctions. At the center of this lobby are small Iranian-American organizations that are tied to various factions of the Iranian regime.



The Mosul offensive and future of Shiite militias

Nov 11th, 2016

Hassan Dai, November 8, 2016
For months prior to the offensive, Iran and its Iraqi proxies pressured the Iraqi government to accept the militias’ role in the Mosul offensive, a move that could give them a share of victory and provide them with a pretext to justify their activities long after the defeat of ISIS. This would secure Iran’s influence in Iraq that predominantly relies on these militias, a prospect that many believe to be the Hezbollah-ization of Iraq.



Pro-Iranian regime network of Islamic Centers in the US

Oct 17th, 2016

Hassan Dai, October 17, 2016
There are a number of Islamic organizations in the US that are tied to the Iranian regime, disseminate its ideology and attempt to generate support for its political agenda. The vast majority of American Muslims follow a moderate Islam and reject extremist views including the Iranian regime’s ideology. Subsequently, Iran’s influence is limited to a very slim portion of US Muslims, predominantly in the Shia community.



Iranian regime intensifies its campaign to lure Afghan immigrants to fight in Syria

Sep 6th, 2016

Hassan Dai, September 6, 2016
Iranian regime has been carrying out a large-scale public campaign to justify its military intervention in Syria and reinvigorate the regime’s ideological base that seems shaken by the Syrian quagmire. This campaign specifically targets Afghan immigrants who provide the majority of recruits for the “Fatemiyoun” Division, the Afghan unit of Iran’s Quds Force fighting in Syria. This campaign seems crucial for the Iranian regime as it is bogged down in Syria and in desperate need of more fighters for its war machine.



Pakistani unit of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards fighting in Syria

Sep 1st, 2016

Hassan Dai, September 1, 2016
In late 2014, the Revolutionary Guards Quds Force recruited a group of 50 Pakistani Shiites and formed the Zeynabiyoun brigade. The unit is currently estimated to have 1500 to 2000 fighters in Syria.